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Threat Analysis

Iran Military Assessments

The unclassified U.S. government assessments of Iran's military — the publicly-released DoD annual reports, the DIA's standalone volume, and the recurring missile, nuclear, and Congressional Research Service reports.

Conflict with IranIranDoDDIANASICCRSPrimary SourcesNuclearMissiles

Iran is a case where the mandate existed but the paperwork mostly stayed classified. The Department of Defense was required by the FY2010 defense authorization to produce an Annual Report on Military Power of Iran — but unlike the China Military Power Report, it was issued primarily as a classified document, and only a handful of unclassified editions ever reached the public. Those, plus the DIA’s standalone volume, are archived here; the recurring analytic reports are linked at their sources.

The DoD annual reports (the public editions)

The mandate ran for roughly a decade, but only three editions escaped as unclassified or leaked public copies. The rest remain classified.

The DIA assessment

The Defense Intelligence Agency’s single, in-depth volume — the most complete unclassified overview of Iran’s forces, part of the same “Military Power” line as its Russia, China, and North Korea editions.

Living documents

Updated over time, so linked at their official sources (they open in a new tab).

Missile forces

Congressional Research Service — continuously updated; the landing pages serve the current edition:

A note on the sources: the three public DoD reports and the DIA 2019 volume are fixed historical documents, archived here in full. The §1245 mandate is still on the books, so newer unclassified editions may surface in time. The missile and CRS reports change over time and stay linked to their official publishers.

Sources: U.S. Department of Defense · Defense Intelligence Agency · NASIC · Congressional Research Service